Model performance, in depth
Analytics
A live breakdown of where the model earns its edge — by market and by season. Every number here is computed from graded picks. Updated August 1, 2026.
Performance by market
| Market | Record (W–L–P) | Win % | ROI | Units |
|---|
| Against the run line | 4–2–0 | 66.7% | +27.3% | +1.6 |
| Totals (O/U) | 3–3–0 | 50% | -4.6% | -0.3 |
| All markets | 7–5–0 | 58.3% | +11.4% | +1.4 |
By season
| Season | Win % | Net units | Record |
|---|
| 2026 | 58.3% | +1.4 | 7–5–0 |
Note: figures update automatically as games are graded. Units assume 1 unit risked per play at -110; win rate excludes pushes.
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