Model performance, in depth

Analytics

A live breakdown of where the model earns its edge — by market and by season. Every number here is computed from graded picks. Updated September 15, 2026.

Performance by market

Market	Record (W–L–P)	Win %	ROI	Units
Against the run line	36–21–0	63.2%	+20.6%	+11.7
Totals (O/U)	31–23–1	57.4%	+9.6%	+5.2
All markets	67–44–1	60.4%	+15.2%	+16.9

By season

Season	Win %	Net units	Record
2026	60.4%	+16.9	67–44–1

Note: figures update automatically as games are graded. Units assume 1 unit risked per play at -110; win rate excludes pushes.