Model performance, in depth

Analytics

A live breakdown of where the model earns its edge — by market and by season. Every number here is computed from graded picks. Updated October 30, 2026.

Performance by market

Market	Record (W–L–P)	Win %	ROI	Units
Against the run line	416–302–0	57.9%	+10.6%	+76.1
Totals (O/U)	335–299–15	52.8%	+0.9%	+5.5
All markets	751–601–15	55.5%	+6.0%	+81.7

By season

Season	Win %	Net units	Record
2026	55.5%	+81.7	751–601–15

Note: figures update automatically as games are graded. Units assume 1 unit risked per play at -110; win rate excludes pushes.