MLBComputerPicksPITPIT
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CINCIN
Sat, Aug 1 · 10:41 PM ET Strong
Run lineCIN +1.5 +1.9
TotalOver 8.5 +0.6
MoneylineCIN -115
ProjectionPIT 4 – CIN 5
Model confidence85%
Saturday, August 1 · 2026 season
MLB computer picks — today's full slate
Every matchup below is graded by our model against the current market. The edge next to each pick is how many runs our projection differs from the sportsbook line — the bigger the gap, the stronger the play. 14 of 15 games cleared our edge threshold today. Click any game for the full preview.
Reading the cards: Strong plays clear our highest edge threshold; Lean plays are smaller edges worth a lighter unit; Pass means no edge worth betting. Auto-updated Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT.
TEXTEX
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HOUHOU
Sat, Aug 1 · 11:11 PM ET Strong
Run lineHOU +1.5 +2.0
TotalOver 8.5 +0.3
MoneylineHOU -115
ProjectionTEX 4 – HOU 5
Model confidence85%
NYYNYY
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CHCCHC
Sat, Aug 1 · 11:16 PM ET Strong
Run lineCHC +1.5 +1.1
TotalOver 6.5 +2.4
MoneylineNYY -115
ProjectionNYY 5 – CHC 4
Model confidence85%
DETDET
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ATHATH
Sun, Aug 2 · 1:41 AM ET Strong
Run lineATH +1.5 +1.1
TotalUnder 10.5 +2.1
MoneylineDET -115
ProjectionDET 4 – ATH 4
Model confidence85%
PHIPHI
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BALBAL
Sat, Aug 1 · 11:06 PM ET Strong
Run lineBAL +1.5 +1.5
TotalOver 8.5 +0.3
MoneylineBAL -100
ProjectionPHI 4 – BAL 4
Model confidence83%
STLSTL
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TORTOR
Sat, Aug 1 · 7:08 PM ET Strong
Run lineSTL +1.5 +1.3
TotalUnder 8.5 +0.2
MoneylineTOR -105
ProjectionSTL 4 – TOR 4
Model confidence79%
MINMIN
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SEASEA
Sat, Aug 1 · 8:11 PM ET Strong
Run lineMIN +1.5 +1.2
TotalUnder 8 +0.4
MoneylineSEA -110
ProjectionMIN 4 – SEA 4
Model confidence76%
KCKC
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COLCOL
Sun, Aug 2 · 12:10 AM ET Strong
Run lineCOL +1.5 +0.9
TotalUnder 12 +1.2
MoneylineKC -120
ProjectionKC 6 – COL 5
Model confidence76%
BOSBOS
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LADLAD
Sun, Aug 2 · 1:11 AM ET Strong
Run lineBOS +1.5 +0.6
TotalOver 8 +1.2
MoneylineLAD -130
ProjectionBOS 4 – LAD 5
Model confidence76%
ARIARI
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CLECLE
Sat, Aug 1 · 11:16 PM ET Strong
Run lineARI +1.5 +1.1
TotalOver 8.5 +0.0
MoneylineCLE -115
ProjectionARI 4 – CLE 4
Model confidence74%
MIAMIA
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NYMNYM
Sat, Aug 1 · 8:11 PM ET Strong
Run lineMIA +1.5 +0.5
TotalUnder 9 +1.0
MoneylineNYM -135
ProjectionMIA 4 – NYM 5
Model confidence72%
SFSF
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SDSD
Sun, Aug 2 · 12:41 AM ET Strong
Run lineSF +1.5 +1.0
TotalUnder 8.5 +1.0
MoneylineSD -115
ProjectionSF 4 – SD 4
Model confidence72%
MILMIL
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LAALAA
Sun, Aug 2 · 1:39 AM ET Strong
Run lineLAA +1.5 +1.0
TotalUnder 9 +0.5
MoneylineMIL -115
ProjectionMIL 5 – LAA 4
Model confidence72%
WSHWSH
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ATLATL
Sat, Aug 1 · 11:16 PM ET Strong
Run lineWSH +1.5 +0.3
TotalUnder 9.5 +0.9
MoneylineATL -145
ProjectionWSH 4 – ATL 5
Model confidence70%
CWSCWS
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TBTB
Sat, Aug 1 · 8:11 PM ET Pass
Run lineCWS +1.5 +0.2
TotalOver 8 +0.2
MoneylineTB -150
ProjectionCWS 3 – TB 5
Model confidence54%
How to bet these picks responsibly
Size by confidence
More on strong plays, less on leans. A flat 1-unit strong / 0.5-unit lean plan keeps variance manageable.
Shop for the number
Half a point matters. Always take the best available line across your sportsbooks.
Bet edges early
When the model disagrees sharply with an opener, the market often corrects toward us. Early bettors get the best price.