MLBComputerPicksATLATL
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CHCCHC
Tue, Sep 15 · 11:40 PM ET Strong
Run lineATL +1.5 +1.9
TotalOver 8.5 +0.2
MoneylineATL -115
ProjectionATL 5 – CHC 4
Model confidence85%
Tuesday, September 15 · 2026 season
MLB computer picks — today's full slate
Every matchup below is graded by our model against the current market. The edge next to each pick is how many runs our projection differs from the sportsbook line — the bigger the gap, the stronger the play. 14 of 14 games cleared our edge threshold today. Click any game for the full preview.
Reading the cards: Strong plays clear our highest edge threshold; Lean plays are smaller edges worth a lighter unit; Pass means no edge worth betting. Auto-updated Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT.
DETDET
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TORTOR
Tue, Sep 15 · 11:08 PM ET Strong
Run lineDET +1.5 +1.4
TotalUnder 8.5 +0.3
MoneylineTOR -105
ProjectionDET 4 – TOR 4
Model confidence81%
BALBAL
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NYMNYM
Tue, Sep 15 · 11:10 PM ET Strong
Run lineBAL +1.5 +1.4
TotalOver 8 +0.7
MoneylineNYM -105
ProjectionBAL 4 – NYM 4
Model confidence81%
SFSF
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STLSTL
Tue, Sep 15 · 11:45 PM ET Strong
Run lineSF +1.5 +1.3
TotalUnder 8 +0.3
MoneylineSTL -105
ProjectionSF 4 – STL 4
Model confidence79%
NYYNYY
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MINMIN
Tue, Sep 15 · 11:40 PM ET Strong
Run lineMIN +1.5 +1.2
TotalOver 8 +0.7
MoneylineNYY -110
ProjectionNYY 5 – MIN 4
Model confidence76%
MILMIL
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PITPIT
Tue, Sep 15 · 10:41 PM ET Strong
Run linePIT +1.5 +1.1
TotalOver 7.5 +0.7
MoneylineMIL -115
ProjectionMIL 4 – PIT 4
Model confidence74%
LADLAD
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CINCIN
Tue, Sep 15 · 10:40 PM ET Strong
Run lineCIN +1.5 +0.7
TotalOver 8.5 +1.0
MoneylineLAD -125
ProjectionLAD 5 – CIN 4
Model confidence72%
SDSD
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COLCOL
Wed, Sep 16 · 12:40 AM ET Strong
Run lineCOL +1.5 +0.7
TotalUnder 11.5 +1.0
MoneylineSD -125
ProjectionSD 6 – COL 5
Model confidence72%
SEASEA
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LAALAA
Wed, Sep 16 · 1:38 AM ET Strong
Run lineLAA +1.5 +1.0
TotalUnder 8 +0.2
MoneylineSEA -115
ProjectionSEA 4 – LAA 4
Model confidence72%
KCKC
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HOUHOU
Wed, Sep 16 · 12:10 AM ET Strong
Run lineKC +1.5 +0.9
TotalOver 8 +0.3
MoneylineHOU -120
ProjectionKC 4 – HOU 4
Model confidence70%
PHIPHI
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WSHWSH
Tue, Sep 15 · 10:45 PM ET Strong
Run lineWSH +1.5 +0.8
TotalOver 8 +0.6
MoneylinePHI -125
ProjectionPHI 5 – WSH 4
Model confidence68%
ATHATH
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TBTB
Tue, Sep 15 · 10:40 PM ET Strong
Run lineATH +1.5 +0.6
TotalOver 8 +0.4
MoneylineTB -130
ProjectionATH 4 – TB 5
Model confidence63%
MIAMIA
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ARIARI
Wed, Sep 16 · 1:40 AM ET Strong
Run lineMIA +1.5 +0.6
TotalUnder 8.5 +0.2
MoneylineARI -130
ProjectionMIA 4 – ARI 5
Model confidence63%
CWSCWS
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CLECLE
Tue, Sep 15 · 10:40 PM ET Lean
Run lineCLE -1.5 +0.0
TotalUnder 8.5 +0.3
MoneylineCLE -155
ProjectionCWS 3 – CLE 5
Model confidence57%
How to bet these picks responsibly
Size by confidence
More on strong plays, less on leans. A flat 1-unit strong / 0.5-unit lean plan keeps variance manageable.
Shop for the number
Half a point matters. Always take the best available line across your sportsbooks.
Bet edges early
When the model disagrees sharply with an opener, the market often corrects toward us. Early bettors get the best price.