Friday, October 30 · 2026 season

MLB computer picks — today's full slate

Every matchup below is graded by our model against the current market. The edge next to each pick is how many runs our projection differs from the sportsbook line — the bigger the gap, the stronger the play. 6 of 8 games cleared our edge threshold today. Click any game for the full preview.

Reading the cards: Strong plays clear our highest edge threshold; Lean plays are smaller edges worth a lighter unit; Pass means no edge worth betting. Auto-updated Friday, October 30, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT.
SEASEA
@
HOUHOU
Fri, Jul 31 · 8:10 PM ET  Strong
Run lineSEA +1.5 +1.1
TotalOver 7.5 +0.1
MoneylineHOU -115
ProjectionSEA 4 – HOU 4
Model confidence74%
CINCIN
@
COLCOL
Fri, Jul 31 · 8:40 PM ET  Strong
Run lineCOL +1.5 +1.1
TotalOver 11.5 +0.2
MoneylineCIN -115
ProjectionCIN 6 – COL 6
Model confidence74%
TBTB
@
BALBAL
Fri, Jul 31 · 7:05 PM ET  Strong
Run lineTB +1.5 +1.1
TotalUnder 8.5 +0.1
MoneylineBAL -115
ProjectionTB 4 – BAL 4
Model confidence74%
NYMNYM
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ATLATL
Fri, Jul 31 · 7:20 PM ET  Strong
Run lineNYM +1.5 +0.9
TotalOver 8.5 +0.1
MoneylineATL -120
ProjectionNYM 4 – ATL 5
Model confidence70%
BOSBOS
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NYYNYY
Fri, Jul 31 · 7:05 PM ET  Strong
Run lineBOS +1.5 +0.8
TotalOver 9 +0.3
MoneylineNYY -125
ProjectionBOS 4 – NYY 5
Model confidence68%
SDSD
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LADLAD
Fri, Jul 31 · 10:10 PM ET  Strong
Run lineSD +1.5 +0.7
TotalUnder 8.5 +0.2
MoneylineLAD -125
ProjectionSD 4 – LAD 5
Model confidence65%
MIAMIA
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PHIPHI
Fri, Jul 31 · 6:40 PM ET  Pass
Run lineMIA +1.5 +0.2
TotalOver 8 +0.1
MoneylinePHI -150
ProjectionMIA 3 – PHI 5
Model confidence54%
CWSCWS
@
CLECLE
Fri, Jul 31 · 7:10 PM ET  Pass
Run lineCLE -1.5 +0.0
TotalOver 8 +0.2
MoneylineCLE -155
ProjectionCWS 3 – CLE 5
Model confidence54%

How to bet these picks responsibly

Size by confidence

More on strong plays, less on leans. A flat 1-unit strong / 0.5-unit lean plan keeps variance manageable.

Shop for the number

Half a point matters. Always take the best available line across your sportsbooks.

Bet edges early

When the model disagrees sharply with an opener, the market often corrects toward us. Early bettors get the best price.