Transparent track record

Every pick, graded automatically

Each play is locked at the line we posted, then graded win, loss, or push against the actual final score — no cherry-picking, nothing deleted. Updated August 1, 2026.

58.3%

Win rate

+1.4

Units (@ -110)

+11.4%

ROI

7–5–0

Record (W–L–P)

66.7%

Run line win rate (4–2–0)

50%

Totals win rate (3–3–0)

Still pending

Graded picks

Date	Matchup	Pick	Market	Result	Final
Jul 31	SEA @ LAD	Under 8.5	Total	Win	SEA 2 – LAD 6
Jul 31	SEA @ LAD	SEA +1.5	Run line	Loss	SEA 2 – LAD 6
Jul 31	BOS @ ATH	Under 10.5	Total	Win	BOS 5 – ATH 4
Jul 31	BOS @ ATH	ATH +1.5	Run line	Win	BOS 5 – ATH 4
Jul 30	TEX @ TB	Over 8	Total	Loss	TEX 2 – TB 3
Jul 30	TEX @ TB	TEX +1.5	Run line	Win	TEX 2 – TB 3
Jul 30	NYY @ CWS	Over 7.5	Total	Loss	NYY 1 – CWS 2
Jul 30	NYY @ CWS	NYY +1.5	Run line	Win	NYY 1 – CWS 2
Jul 30	KC @ MIN	Under 9.5	Total	Win	KC 3 – MIN 4
Jul 30	KC @ MIN	KC +1.5	Run line	Win	KC 3 – MIN 4
Jul 30	CHC @ STL	Over 6.5	Total	Loss	CHC 4 – STL 2
Jul 30	CHC @ STL	STL +1.5	Run line	Loss	CHC 4 – STL 2

Plus 58 plays currently locked and awaiting results.

How units work: each graded play is 1 unit risked at standard -110 juice (a win returns +0.91 units, a loss −1, a push 0). Win rate excludes pushes. Past performance never guarantees future results — bet responsibly.

How we grade

Mechanical and automatic — the way a computer model should be.

Line locked at post

Every pick is graded against the number we published, not a better one that appeared later.

Scored on the final

Results come straight from official final scores the day after each game — win, loss, or push.

Nothing removed

Losing weeks stay in the log permanently. The all-time record is the honest one.