MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 2, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
The model just re-graded the board for Sunday, August 2, 2026. Here are the plays it likes most today.
1. Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves — ATL +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ATL +1.5, an edge of about 2.7 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.6 runs while the book has hung 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected WSH 4 – ATL 5 · full preview →
2. St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays — TOR +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is TOR +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.3 runs against the posted 9. That points to the Under 9, with about 0.7 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected STL 4 – TOR 4 · full preview →
3. Miami Marlins at New York Mets — NYM +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is NYM +1.5, an edge of about 2.5 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.0 runs while the book has hung 8.5. That points to the Under 8.5, with about 0.5 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIA 4 – NYM 5 · full preview →
4. New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs — CHC +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CHC +1.5, an edge of about 1.1 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.9 runs while the book has hung 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 2.4 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected NYY 5 – CHC 4 · full preview →
5. Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies — COL +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is COL +1.5, an edge of about 0.9 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 10.8 runs against the posted 12.5. That points to the Under 12.5, with about 1.7 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected KC 6 – COL 5 · full preview →