MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 13, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Today's top MLB computer picks for Thursday, August 13, 2026, ranked by the size of the model's edge.
1. Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox — CWS +2.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 2.5 on CWS, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live run line play. The recommendation is CWS +2.5, an edge of about 1.9 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 9.3 runs while the book has hung 15.5. That points to the Under 15.5, with about 6.2 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CIN 5 – CWS 4 · full preview →
2. Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers — CLE +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CLE +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 7.9 runs while the book has hung 3.5. That points to the Over 3.5, with about 4.4 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CLE 4 – DET 4 · full preview →
3. Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins — MIA +5.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 5.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is MIA +5.5, an edge of about 5.5 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 7.8 runs against the posted 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 1.3 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected PIT 4 – MIA 4 · full preview →
4. Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees — NYY +1.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 1.5 on NYY, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live run line play. The recommendation is NYY +1.5, an edge of about 2.1 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.0 runs against the posted 4.5. That points to the Over 4.5, with about 3.5 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected SEA 4 – NYY 4 · full preview →
5. Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays — TOR +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is TOR +1.5, an edge of about 1.5 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 9.0 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.5 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 83% · projected BOS 5 – TOR 5 · full preview →