MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 25, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Here's where the model sees the most value on the MLB board for Tuesday, August 25, 2026.
1. Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers — DET +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is DET +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 7.9 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected TB 4 – DET 4 · full preview →
2. Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals — COL +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is COL +1.5, an edge of about 0.9 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 10.9 runs while the book has hung 8.5. That points to the Over 8.5, with about 2.4 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected COL 5 – WSH 6 · full preview →
3. Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets — NYM +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is NYM +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.4 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 0.9 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIL 4 – NYM 4 · full preview →
4. Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals — BAL +1.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -1.5 on STL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live run line play. The recommendation is BAL +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.5 runs while the book has hung 8. That points to the Over 8, with about 0.5 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected BAL 4 – STL 4 · full preview →
5. Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks — ARI +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ARI +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.9 combined runs versus a market number of 8. That points to the Over 8, with about 0.9 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CHC 4 – ARI 5 · full preview →