MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 26, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
The algorithm sorted every game for Wednesday, August 26, 2026 by edge. These rose to the top.
1. Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers — DET +3.5 Strong
The market opened at 3.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is DET +3.5, an edge of about 3.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 7.9 combined runs versus a market number of 3.5. That points to the Over 3.5, with about 4.4 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected TB 4 – DET 4 · full preview →
2. Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks — ARI +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ARI +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.9 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected CHC 4 – ARI 5 · full preview →
3. Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants — SF +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is SF +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.7 runs against the posted 7. That points to the Over 7, with about 1.7 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CIN 4 – SF 5 · full preview →
4. Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals — COL +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is COL +1.5, an edge of about 0.9 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 10.9 runs while the book has hung 9. That points to the Over 9, with about 1.9 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected COL 5 – WSH 6 · full preview →
5. Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets — NYM +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is NYM +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.4 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIL 4 – NYM 4 · full preview →