MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 28, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Our simulation re-priced the slate for Friday, August 28, 2026. The strongest disagreements with the market are below.
1. Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs — CIN +2.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -2.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CIN +2.5, an edge of about 2.1 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 9.4 runs against the posted 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.9 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CIN 5 – CHC 5 · full preview →
2. Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals — WSH +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is WSH +1.5, an edge of about 1.9 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.0 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That points to the Under 8.5, with about 0.5 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIA 4 – WSH 4 · full preview →
3. Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves — ATL -1.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -1.5 on ATL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live run line play. The recommendation is ATL -1.5, an edge of about 0.1 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 11.0 combined runs versus a market number of 9. That points to the Over 9, with about 2.0 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected COL 5 – ATL 6 · full preview →
4. Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees — BOS +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BOS +1.5, an edge of about 0.8 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 9.3 runs while the book has hung 7. That points to the Over 7, with about 2.3 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected BOS 4 – NYY 5 · full preview →
5. Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays — SEA +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is SEA +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 7.7 runs against the posted 7. That points to the Over 7, with about 0.7 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected SEA 4 – TOR 4 · full preview →