MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for September 9, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
The algorithm sorted every game for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 by edge. These rose to the top.
1. St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants — SF +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is SF +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 7.7 runs against the posted 7.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected STL 4 – SF 4 · full preview →
2. Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles — BAL +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BAL +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.4 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected CLE 4 – BAL 4 · full preview →
3. Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees — NYY -1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is NYY -1.5, an edge of about 0.1 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 11.2 combined runs versus a market number of 9.5. That points to the Over 9.5, with about 1.7 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected COL 5 – NYY 6 · full preview →
4. Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals — KC +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is KC +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.7 runs while the book has hung 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected ARI 4 – KC 4 · full preview →
5. Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox — PIT +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is PIT +1.5, an edge of about 1.9 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.3 runs against the posted 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected PIT 4 – CWS 4 · full preview →