MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for September 13, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
The model just re-graded the board for Sunday, September 13, 2026. Here are the plays it likes most today.
1. Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers — COL +6.5 Strong
The market opened at -6.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is COL +6.5, an edge of about 5.5 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 10.6 runs while the book has hung 9.5. That points to the Over 9.5, with about 1.1 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected COL 5 – DET 6 · full preview →
2. Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals — WSH +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is WSH +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.6 runs against the posted 5.5. That points to the Over 5.5, with about 3.1 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected LAA 4 – WSH 4 · full preview →
3. Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves — ATL +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ATL +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.7 runs against the posted 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.2 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected PHI 4 – ATL 5 · full preview →
4. Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays — BAL +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is BAL +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.7 combined runs versus a market number of 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 2.2 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected BAL 4 – TOR 4 · full preview →
5. Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays — HOU +8.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -8.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is HOU +8.5, an edge of about 8.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.1 combined runs versus a market number of 12.5. That points to the Under 12.5, with about 4.4 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected HOU 4 – TB 4 · full preview →