MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for September 14, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Fresh run for Monday, September 14, 2026 — the computer flagged the games where its number is furthest from the market.
1. Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians — CLE -1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CLE -1.5, an edge of about 0.0 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.2 combined runs versus a market number of 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 1.7 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CWS 3 – CLE 5 · full preview →
2. Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds — CIN +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CIN +1.5, an edge of about 0.7 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 9.5 runs while the book has hung 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 2.0 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected LAD 5 – CIN 4 · full preview →
3. Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets — NYM +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is NYM +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.7 runs while the book has hung 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.2 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected BAL 4 – NYM 4 · full preview →
4. Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs — ATL +1.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -1.5 on CHC, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live run line play. The recommendation is ATL +1.5, an edge of about 1.9 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.7 runs while the book has hung 9.5. That points to the Under 9.5, with about 0.8 runs of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected ATL 5 – CHC 4 · full preview →
5. Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians — CLE 0 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 0 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CLE 0, an edge of about 1.5 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.2 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 83% · projected CWS 3 – CLE 5 · full preview →