Daily Best Bets

MLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for October 1, 2026

Published October 1, 2026 · Auto-generated from the model

Today's top MLB computer picks for Thursday, October 1, 2026, ranked by the size of the model's edge.

1. Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves — ATL +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ATL +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.7 runs against the posted 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.2 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected PHI 4 – ATL 5 · full preview →

2. New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays — NYY +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is NYY +1.5, an edge of about 1.8 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.5 runs against the posted 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 2.0 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected NYY 4 – TB 4 · full preview →

3. San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers — SD +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is SD +1.5, an edge of about 1.3 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.0 combined runs versus a market number of 7. That points to the Over 7, with about 1.0 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 79% · projected SD 4 – MIL 4 · full preview →

4. Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians — CLE -1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CLE -1.5, an edge of about 0.0 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.2 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 0.7 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 65% · projected CWS 3 – CLE 5 · full preview →

These are model outputs, not guarantees. Lines move — confirm the current number before betting, shop for the best price, and never wager more than you can afford to lose. 21+ where legal.

See the full slate →