MLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 8, 2026

Published August 8, 2026 · Auto-generated from the model

Best bets for Saturday, August 8, 2026, straight from the model — no gut calls, just the biggest edges.

1. Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees — NYY +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is NYY +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.9 runs while the book has hung 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.4 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected ATL 4 – NYY 5 · full preview →

2. New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates — NYM +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is NYM +1.5, an edge of about 1.9 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.3 combined runs versus a market number of 9. That points to the Under 9, with about 0.7 runs of under edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected NYM 4 – PIT 4 · full preview →

3. Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals — KC +1.5 Strong

The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is KC +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.5 combined runs versus a market number of 9. That points to the Under 9, with about 0.5 runs of under edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected CHC 4 – KC 4 · full preview →

4. Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers — BAL +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BAL +1.5, an edge of about 1.5 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 9.1 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.6 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected BAL 5 – TEX 5 · full preview →

5. Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals — COL +1.5 Strong

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is COL +1.5, an edge of about 0.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 10.7 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That points to the Over 8.5, with about 2.2 runs of over edge.

Model confidence 85% · projected COL 5 – STL 6 · full preview →

See the full slate →