MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 17, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Fresh run for Monday, August 17, 2026 — the computer flagged the games where its number is furthest from the market.
1. St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds — CIN +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CIN +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 9.1 combined runs versus a market number of 8.5. That points to the Over 8.5, with about 0.6 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected STL 5 – CIN 5 · full preview →
2. St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds — CIN +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CIN +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 9.1 combined runs versus a market number of 9. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected STL 5 – CIN 5 · full preview →
3. St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds — CIN +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CIN +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 9.1 combined runs versus a market number of 9. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected STL 5 – CIN 5 · full preview →
4. Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates — DET +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is DET +1.5, an edge of about 1.7 runs in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 8.0 runs while the book has hung 8. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
Model confidence 85% · projected DET 4 – PIT 4 · full preview →
5. Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays — BAL +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BAL +1.5, an edge of about 1.5 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.4 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 0.9 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 83% · projected BAL 4 – TB 4 · full preview →